Donald Trump’s presidential future looks less than rosy due to his botched handling of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new national poll which predicts he will lose the popular vote during the November 2020 presidential election.
Last fall, prior to the pandemic, the Oxford Economics poll predicted Trump would win the popular vote by 55 percent. Oxford Economics has a history of predicting presidential elections but has reversed its stance with the cratering economy and in April gave Trump only a 43 percent chance of winning the popular vote, NBC News [1] and The Washington Post [2] report.
“An unemployment rate above its global financial crisis peak, household income nearly six percent below its pre-virus levels, and transitory deflation will make the economy a nearly insurmountable obstacle for Trump come November,” Oxford Economics said Wednesday, in reference to its state-based and national election models.
It’s worth keeping in mind, however, that Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes, but still lost [3] thanks to the Electoral College.
Things are looking pretty good for former Vice President Joe Biden, however, as a Quinnipiac poll shows him with a double-digit 11-point lead over Trump, at 50 percent, compared to Trump’s 39 percent.
“What does the 11-point Biden lead tell us?” said Quinnipiac polling analyst Tim Malloy said. “At best, for team Trump, it says voter confidence in President Trump is shaky. At worst for them, as coronavirus cases rise, Trump’s judgment is questioned — and November looms.”
So let’s hope the Electoral College doesn’t get in the way — again.
Watch this MSNBC video to find out more.