2024 Election

Biden Beats Trump in Latest Hypothetical 2024 Matchup Poll (Although it’s Pretty Darn Close)

President Joe Biden’s approval rating continues to remain low, but recent polling data suggests he would still beat former president Donald Trump, albeit narrowly. If that is, the 2024 election was held now in a hypothetical matchup, Newsweek reports.

Biden has said repeatedly that he plans to seek reelection, but Trump has seemed to remain coy about this and hasn’t officially confirmed that he’ll run again in 2024. He sure has teased that possibility, however. And the worrisome news is that a number of recent polls suggest Trump may be in a good position to beat Biden in a rematch.

But the latest polling data from London-based Redfield & Wilton Strategies shows Trump slightly behind Biden.

“With regard to the 2024 election Presidential Election, Joe Biden is back to leading over Donald Trump in our latest hypothetical voting intention, after our previous three polls found Trump ahead,” the company, a strategic consulting firm said in a write-up of the polling data Thursday.

According to the survey results, 43 percent of eligible voters would vote for Biden. Only 41 percent said they would cast their ballots for Trump, meaning he trails Biden by two percentage points. And eleven percent of eligible voters said they didn’t know which candidate they would vote for.

But the situation isn’t exactly going like gangbusters for Biden. The same poll also said 44 percent of eligible voters said they disapprove of the president. Only 39 percent of eligible voters said they approve of Biden’s performance. And the news is even worse over at FiveThirtyEight, where its average of recent polls shows that about 42.4 percent approve of Biden, as opposed to 51.4 percent who disapprove.

The poll consisted of a sample size of 1500 respondents and was conducted between January 8th and 9th.

Biden’s overall approval rating has taken a double-digit hit during his first year in office. When he first took office in January 2021, FiveThirtyEight’s average showed the president had an approval rating of roughly 53 percent. One year later, his approval rating has dropped by just over 10 points.

And while Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ current data shows Biden just ahead of Trump, another poll released earlier this week by the conservative Rasmussen Reports placed Trump several points ahead. The survey found that 46 percent would cast their ballots for the former president, only 40 percent would back Biden if the election were held today.

Rasmussen released the polling data Tuesday. The survey consisted of 1,016 respondents and was conducted on January 5th.

Biden first announced in March 2021 his plans to seek reelection, even though there are concerns about his age. Now 79, Biden is the oldest President in U.S. history and will turn 82 shortly after the 2024 election.

But even as his approval rating has dipped significantly — and as others speculate about alternative Democratic candidates — Biden continues to maintain that he plans to run again. And in December the president added that if Trump decides to make another White House bid, that would make him even more determined to stick to this plan.

“Why would I not run against Donald Trump if he were the nominee?” Biden said in an interview with ABC News. “That would increase the prospect of running.”

I say more power to him and I hope he’s successful. But can we get a few younger candidates in there? Pete Buttigieg, Stacey Abrams, Kamala Harris, are y’all listening?

Trump will be 78 years old in 2024, and there’s talk of Hillary Clinton potentially running again. She’ll be just over 77 years old. This habit of electing elderly people as president is getting, well, old.

meet the author

Megan has lived in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida and she currently lives in Central America. Living in these places has informed her writing on politics, science, and history. She is currently owned by 15 cats and 3 dogs and regularly owns Trump supporters when she has the opportunity. She can be found on Twitter at https://twitter.com/GaiaLibra and Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/politicalsaurus


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