2024 Election

As If Trump Needed Any More Problems, He Just Got Hit With a TON of Bad News

Not only has Donald Trump been impeached and indicted twice, which has resulted in him being hit with more than 70 criminal charges with more on the way, but a wave of polls have just been released and they show he is falling out of favor among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents as primary season gets underway.

As I’d written on Monday, he still enjoys nearly a 50 percent approval rating according to some polls and he also enjoys a 20 percent lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, currently considered to be his biggest opponent.

But the situation is changing.

The latest poll from Pew Research found that Trump is losing favor among his fellow GOPers and independents who generally vote Republican, Queerty reports.

The poll was conducted between July 10 and July 16, and it found his “unfavorable” rating among GOP voters has risen from 24 percent in 2022 to 32 percent in 2023. And, his “favorable” rating has dropped almost 10 points, sliding from 75 percent in 2022 to 66 percent in 2023. This can definitely be considered bad news for Trump. The primaries are still six months away, giving his opponents a chance to gin up their game.

Trump is, however, still the party’s frontrunner. For the time being.

FiveThirtyEight’s latest average shows Trump, 77 drawing an average of 50.8 percent support among Republicans in national polls, meaning he’s still well ahead of DeSantis, whose support has hovered around 20 percent for a while.

But this is barely even the beginning of primary season, meaning there’s plenty of time for Trump’s support to wax or wane and allow another candidate to take the lead.

And this isn’t even the worst polling news for the former president.

Another survey found that the majority of registered voters support the federal investigation into his role pertaining to the January 6 insurrection along with his failed attempts to overthrow 2020’s presidential election results.

One survey conducted by Harvard University CAPS/Harris Poll between July 19 and 20 definitely demonstrated this, finding that 57 percent of respondents said the case against Trump is either “very strong” or “somewhat strong.” This included 87 percent of Democrats, 47 percent of independents, and 31 percent of Republicans, per Queerty.

And that’s not all — 42 percent said they believe the former president is probably guilty of the potential charges he may soon be facing, while 37 percent said he is likely innocent and shouldn’t be charged.

A fifth of those surveyed said he might be guilty but shouldn’t be indicted because the charges would be “too political” and may interfere with the 2024 election.

Ugh. I can’t with some of these people. I just can’t.

A Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted between July 13 and 17 found that a majority of Americans believe that all the scandals involving Trump, from the Stormy Daniels hush money case to filching classified documents from the White House and storing them in one of the bathrooms at Mar-a-Lago are disgusting and should disqualify him from running for office.

The survey asked if they believed Trump has ever committed a serious crime at any point in his life, and 51 percent of respondents replied in the affirmative, 21 percent said they weren’t sure, while 27 percent said no.

Respondents were also asked if Trump is convicted of a serious crime in the coming months and sentenced to prison, should he continue his presidential run from behind bars. Out of those surveyed, 64 percent said he should probably hang it up, while 13 percent were undecided. Additionally, 22 percent said he shouldn’t let prison stop him from running.

Perhaps those in that last percentile don’t know the meaning of the word “futility.”

Obviously, Trump may be in for a rough time of it, his legal problems notwithstanding. Yes, he has diehard supporters who will stroll right along into hell with him, but there’s not enough of them to win him another gig in the White House. Fortunately. Heck, there may not even be enough to garner the Republican nomination to get there. But we won’t really have enough to go on until the debates are well underway.

The fireworks begin on August 23, when the first GOP primary debate is scheduled to be held in Milwaukee, and that one’s expected to be a real bloodbath. So far, six candidates have qualified to stand on stage: Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, and Chris Christie. While Christie is likely the only candidate to have a reasonable chance against Trump, Mike Pence, the ex-president’s former VP is also edging closer, meaning he may appear as well.

As far as the Democrats go, we know President Joe Biden is running, and so are author Marianne Williamson and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

I don’t know much about Williamson and I don’t know how Robert F. Kennedy could have produced such a nutball for a son. He’s an anti-vaxxer but even though I think he’s a little bit cuckoo for cocoa puffs, it does look like he has some good points.

Nevertheless, Joe Biden will steamroll over both of them. That’s almost undeniable.

I think it’s likely we’ll have a Biden/Trump showdown for the 2024 election but in politics if there’s anything I’ve learned that things can change fast. Really fast.

All I can say is, stay tuned.

meet the author

Megan has lived in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida and she currently lives in Central America. Living in these places has informed her writing on politics, science, and history. She is currently owned by 15 cats and 3 dogs and regularly owns Trump supporters when she has the opportunity. She can be found on Twitter at https://twitter.com/GaiaLibra and Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/politicalsaurus

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